Symbol: DNDN
Closing Price (06/15/07): $7.63
According to Yahoo Finance Business Summary,
"Dendreon Corporation, a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics that harness the immune system to fight cancer ."
On May 9 2007, FDA requested additional clinical data and held off on approving PROVENGE, an active cellular immunotherapy for the treatment of asymptomatic, metastatic, androgen-independent prostate cancer. As a result, shares of DNDN, which closed on May 8 at $17.74 opened on May 9 at $7.31 and closed at $6.33.
My questions in my mind now are - Is DNDN worth the risk at this point? Will they be able to provide sufficient clinical data to FDA fast enough to start production of Provenge by 2008? Will they be able to provide the results post 2008?
Here are my opinions that I share with you.
I think DNDN is a fine company lead by good management; that is evident as management quickly converted senior subordinated notes to raise 75 million.
"Company intends to use the net proceeds of this offering to finance its activities relating to the potential commercialization of Provenge® (sipuleucel-T), expand its manufacturing facilities for the commercial production of PROVENGE, fund ongoing and new clinical trials for PROVENGE and its other product candidates, support research and preclinical development activities for its other potential product candidates, and for general corporate purposes, including working capital."
According to me, PROVENGE still stands a good chance of approval, but it will probably require significant result improvements. It will not be easy for the company to get all that data in 2007. However, if the company is able to provide good results and PROVENGE gets approved, we can see the stock price hovering in low 20's IMO.
Investors of DNDN are filing lawsuits against the company for misleading investors. I have yet to dig more into that. I think thats just an overreaction from angry investors.
At last, I would like to say that there is a chance that PROVENGE may not get approved. Thus, this is not a play for the faint hearted. This is a High Risk play.
Position: The writer had no position in DNDN at the time of writing this article.