Wednesday, November 15, 2006

CSHD Update VI - Rufus is Back!

Rufus is back guys.

IMO - this means:
* we go back to OTCBB
* sec has completed bond validation & thus rufus is allowed to be back in as the CEO
* we only move up into Bright Green territory from here

Fasten your seatbelts, we're going flat up in the CSHD roller coaster according to me.

Booyah!

P.S: Keep an eye on Jim Cramer's top picks for this week on Mad Money - MA (Master Card), TM (Toyota Motors) and NYX (NYSE Group). I like these three based on Cramer's DD. Do your own DD as I'm doing mine.

Friday, November 10, 2006

CSHD Update V

Wow, is this stock a "spinning wheel" roller coaster ride or what? You feel like you're at the top one day, but a few seconds later, you realize you're at the bottom. However, you do see that the top is only a couple seconds away. I hope to not get out at the bottom like the spinning wheel though. Just kidding.

So, what has changed since I last updated you guys:
1. Rufus Paul Harris (RPH) has resigned or been voted out of the board. RPH on SubPennyRadio said someone in his board gave some document to SEC that he had never seen before. Nobody stepped up in the board to claim who did it, so Rufus resigned. The company's update to shareholders says Rufus was voted out of the board. Either ways, it is my understanding that the company is still in good terms with Rufus.
2. Since Rufus left, Mike Alexander (MA), the CEO of FHAL has taken the driver seat as the CEO. Apparently, according to posts I read on HSM, the company had filed documents properly in Georgia but is registered in Delaware. Thus, Mike Alexander is creating his board all over again and has appointed Romeo Venditti as Executive Vice President of Global Investments so far. There are no other board of directors at this time.
3. According to RPH on SubPennyRadio (SPR), 10Q is due on Nov 15, 2006.
4. The court date on Nov 7 didn't happen. Instead, investors who went to Atlanta were taken out to a BBQ with Mike Alexander, Ben Stanley and RPH. It is my understanding that Rufus and CSHD have both signed injunctions and given the judge has given the SEC 30 more days to investigate.
5. The stock is trading in grey market around $0.50

My Analysis
* I understand that in grey market, there's no market maker, so price here doesn't make much sense to me. Also, I don't believe a stock in grey market can be shorted. Shorts may be covering here, but the volume has been average the last few days, which doesn't confirm if shorts are covering.
* I believe strong believers are using this as an opportunity to buy.
* For people who are averaged at $2, if we get 6 additional shares, then your average becomes $0.286. This is given the fact that the company will still respect the 6 additional shares offer and file the appropriate filings to make that happen.
* If SEC finds any fraud against the company in regards to the bonds, i'd treat this company as any penny stock out there. However, if the bonds are real, these prices are way too cheap. If you've done your DD, you either believe in the bonds or you don't.

Walk away till there's a PR or till the 10Q comes out. That's what I'm doing.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Walmart --- Never Again

I'm about to share a personal experience at a Walmart store nearby. My background - I don't shop much, but when i do need something, i first find what I want and once i find it, i look for the best prices. I went to Walmart yesterday to get these paper expandable paper organizers that other stores like Target, etc don't have.

So, I go in, find my items, all that is fine and dandy. I go to checkout and what I saw made me so furious that I have no words to describe it. There was one checkout line open, which took care of customers with less than 14 items and it was backed up and if I went to that line, I'd be standing behind 10 people in line. So, I looked around and to my surprise, that was the only checkout line open and 4 other lines were open for self checkout, each with 8 people waiting. So I went and stood in the self-checkout line. I was really mad as this is not good customer service - I saw people working there were roaming around, but no one at the cash register. The self-service line couldn't move either because this admin guy was the bottleneck as most people were getting stuck and there was one admin for 4 lanes. The lines barely moved and I saw a lot of people wanted to teach Walmart a lesson so they left and said Walmart must realize that this is not good customer service, so they lost the sale. I was very tempted to do that, but I knew I couldn't find this item anywhere nearby so I stuck around.

Finally, to my surprise, one guy came and opened a new register, so I ran to the front of that line, but I was second, by the time I got there. The lady in front of me put all her stuff on the belt and the guy was logging in, etc. When he tried to scan the first item, he realized that lane didn't work so he moved us to another lane, yet again an example of bad customer service, but I'm ok with that.

Finally, my turn came and I asked the guy why this is happening and he told me, the person scheduling is calling 20 people in the morning, but very few in the afternoon and this was Saturday afternoon - they should expect a lot of people.

I was one dissatisfied customer. I will never be a Walmart shareholder and will restrict buying from walmart.

Saturday, October 28, 2006

CSHD Update IV

Some of you may be thinking why I'm only writing about CSHD these days so I'll give a few reasons for that:
1. If everything Rufus has said is true, this could be the play of the year for me and can get me huge gains on my small investment.
2. This stock is such a roller coaster ride and is a victim of so many attacks that its tough to lose focus. i.e. Doing DD on this stock takes up a lot of time
3. I've found two great places - HotStockMarket.com and Paltalk messenger for CSHD shareholders - to bounce ideas and DD with other people.

You may now ask - "So what's going on?"
Currently, the SEC is investigating if all statements made by CSHD and Rufus are correct or not, especially in regards to the ownership of bonds. A great place to start your DD is the First Page of CSHD thread on HotStockMarket.com (http://www.hotstockmarket.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43818). Here, you can find a link to Rufus's latest inverview on Paltalk that was even PR'ed by the company.

Some events that have taken place since I last posted:
* 6 Additional Shares for every 1 share has been promised to shareholders that held close of business October 16, 2006. According to the 10KSB/A, it would take 10 business days to get the share in brokerage accounts. From Rufus's recent interviews on SubPennyRadio, the recent activity by SEC may delay the additional shares process.
* Trading on CSHD is suspended as SEC claims that CSHD and Rufus don't own 100% of the bonds. Rufus says SEC has not done their DD. Rufus is happy about the Halt as he has been trying to get the SEC to halt the stock. Trading is expected to resume on November 7, 2006.
* I have paid $5 and checked gsccca.org website, searched for Conversion Solution filings in the Georgia Supreme Court under Real Estate Deeds and I'm happy with what I saw. I recommend that if you hold a position in CSHD, you should pay the $5 to see what's there as one should only trust his/her own DD.

Few of my Opinions:
* One concern for me is that SEC is a regulatory authority and even if everything CSHD has done is fine, they can still find something minor and do some damage. Its not a major concern, but its a little concern for me.
* If SEC validates the legitimacy of the bonds and puts a PR saying everything is legit, I think this stock will skyrocket without a 10Q.

>What's New:
* I think a CSHD shareholder committee is being formed
* Some shareholders have claimed on HotStockMarket.com that they're meeting with Rufus in Dallas today

Important Timelines:
Oct 30 - Original Date for Additional Shares (may be delayed due to SEC interjection)
Nov 7 - Trading for CSHD.OB expected to Resume and Judge expected to give a ruling (may happen before)

Thursday, October 05, 2006

CSHD Update III

According to my CSHD Update II, my opinion was that the stock will be trading above $5 given the 8K/A financials.

The question I ask myself is --- why is is still below 5 and more importantly, why is it going down? My opinion is that the "Air shares" or floating shares are huge as indicated by company released PR. Also, as PR was released that TD Ameritrade shorted the stock and increased air shares, it makes my belief stronger that these same institutions are trying to cover their shorts and manipulating the stock downwards.

I heard Rufus Paul Harris and Ben Stanley on SubPennyRadio.com a few nights ago. Hotstockmarket.com's CSHD message board has people with good DD and I ask questions there if I'm looking for other people's opinion. Paltalk.com has a messenger client that you can install and then go to Finance | Investing | Spin Offs room to listen to subpennyradio live broadcast when CSHD is being talked about. Simon, the DJ at subpennyradio usually talks about CSHD at night these days. These are just some tools available that I want to point out that you can use to get other's opinions and please, do your own Due Diligence (DD).

As informed by CSHD, they have plans to go into NASDAQ. The Price Per Share (PPS) has maintained over $1.75 for almost a week today and I think CSHD should qualify to get into NASDAQ. Lets see, its for us to find out.

Patience my son/daughter, just keep telling yourself that.

I don't believe this stock will trade at $400 per share overnight or within the next few weeks given current conditions. But I do believe that it will be more than where it is today.

Again, patience my son/daughter.

Good luck.

Position: LONG

The writer was a LONG CSHD at the time of writing this article.

All this is my opinion. Please don't trade based on my opinion. Do your own DD.

Sunday, October 01, 2006

CSHD Update II

I wrote about CSHD on September 28, 2006. Click here to view the article.

The stock was up 200% on Thursday from when we last recommended on Aug 24, 2006.

On Friday, CSHD closed at $2.45. I would like to give the readers a quick summary on what I believe went on and how I see this stock trading this coming week.

I think CSHD filed for 10K extension on Friday around 3:15 pm. With extension news, MMs thought they had full control of the situation and brought the stock down by shorting it. CSHD filed an 8K/A with audited financials after trading hours on Friday. According to the financials released and the assumption that there are 120M outstanding shares, 2x fair value of the stock according to me is approx. $13. I believe the 10K extension is filed as a safety measure and also to try to get people to cover their shorts at a higher price after the reset.

Also, PR was released that CSHD is in the process to get into Nasdaq.

If 10K comes out on Monday pre-market, I think CSHD will be trading above $10 on Monday.

Without the 10K on Monday, I think CSHD will be trading above $5.

All this my opinion only and please don't trade on my opinions.

Position: LONG

The writer of this article was a long CSHD at the time of writing this article.

Thursday, September 28, 2006

CSHD Update

I wrote an article about CSHD on Aug 24, 2006 when CSHD was at $0.88. Click here to view the article.

Today, CSHD closed at $3.02, which is over 200% gain. I pointed you to all the tools needed to do due diligence.

The company's CEO has fulfilled all promises so far and I have good confidence in him.

This stock is high risk and thus, the rewards could be great. If you'd like to do further research using message boards, I use cshd message boards on hotstockmarket.com and investorshub.com to do my DD and see what others think.

I expect 10K explaining the company's financials tomorrow. Lets see what happens.

This is all my opinion. Please don't use my opinion to make trade decisions.

Position: LONG

The writer was long CSHD at the time of writing this article.

INSM Update

I was bullish on when I wrote my last post about it. Click here to view the last post.

However, July 5 PR "Tercica gets patent ruling against Insmed" was enough to make me bearish on INSM. Law suits cost money and increase burn rates of a company.

INSM was at $1.66 on May 13, 2006 when I last wrote an article about it. Today the stock closed at $1.35.

Removing INSM from Watchlist.

Position: None

The writer had no position in any stocks mentioned in this blog at the time of writing this article.

AMTD Update

I had initiated coverage on AMTD on May 02, 2006 and updated it on Aug 12, 2006. Click here to review those articles.

AMTD shares are trading above from when we started coverage. However, my personal experience with AMTD with regards to AMTD restricting buys of CSHD stock, where no other brokerage firm is restricting buys. To read what I'm talking about, see PR "Conversion Solutions Issues Statement on TD Ameritrade" released by CSHD.

I personally called AMTD and they could not give a justifiable reason as to why this is the case.

I currently own CSHD but because of AMTD, I can't own more. Thus, I'm in the process of moving my personal brokerage account to eTrade. Also, even though I remain bullish on AMTD stock, my personal experience with the brokerage firm is causing me to remove AMTD from my watchlist. If AMTD claims that they are trying to protect their customers against fraud, I'd like to inform the readers that CSHD stock is up 200% in last two days.

I believe that the biggest goal of a company should be to "Meet or Exceed customer expectation". I am an unsatisfied AMTD customer and visit CSHD boards on investorsHub.com or hotstockmarket.com to meet with more unsatisfied AMTD customers.

Good luck to AMTD and I hope eTrade will meet my expectations.

Position: AMTD - None, CSHD - Long

The writer was LONG CSHD and had no position in AMTD at the time of writing this article.

All of the above is my opinion and my experience. Please don't use this blog for making investment decisions.

MSFT Update

On May 6, 2006 I wrote an article on MSFT while it was at 23.87. Click here to read the article.

I was right that I'm used to seeing this stock between $27 and $28. It closed today at $27.40, up over 14% from $23.87, the price when I posted on May 6.

However, I was wrong about the stock hitting $21 as the low. Its hard to predict bottoms and tops, but it was a close try as it went as low as $21.46.

MSFT is out challenging AAPL with the Zune MP3 player. The "ability to share music with other Zune users through a wireless connection" will be key for MSFT for breaking into this market.

I'm removing MSFT from my watchlist as the stock is trading back at the levels I expect.

All this is my opinion only. Please do not trade based on my opinions.

Position: None

The writer had no position in the stock at the time of writing this article.

SMSI Update

I wrote about Smith Micro Software on May 16, 2006 and was bullish on it. Click here to view the blog.

SMSI closed at $14.46 today, up over 24% from when I added it to watchlist. The company is working to improve product performance and released "innovative data compression, access, and management solution for Mac OS X" last week.

More analyst coverage means the stock is not going to be a hidden gem anymore. Even though I'm still bullish on this stock, I'm removing it from my watchlist.

All this is my opinion only. Don't trade on my opinion.

Position: None

The writer had no position in SMSI at the time of writing this article.

Thursday, August 24, 2006

Conversion Solutions Holdings Group (CSHD.OB)

Play Type: Speculation
Term: Long Term Investment
Market Price: $0.88

CSHD is a diversified holdings corporation, which was formed to originate, fund and source funding for asset-based transactions in the private market. CSHD's main service will be to acquire, fund and provide insurance to target companies in the currently underserved $15,000,000 to $100,000,000 asset finance market.

The symbol FHAL.OB changed to CSHD per companies PR on Aug 8, 2006. There was a "reverse" merger or as some call it "shell" merger between CVSU and FHAL, and the newly formed company Conversion Solutions Holdings Group trades under the symbol CSHD.OB.

Currently, CSHD is expected to file the 10K and release the financials. The company's CEO Mr Paul Rufus Harris has been interviewed on MN1.com. The interview was very positive for share holders and Mr Harris explained his long-term and short-term vision for the stock.

If you have done your DD, you know that the PPS of CSHD will be reset to $25.63 per the PR released on Aug 18, 2006, which will be a multiple of 2. According to the PR, the book value of the stock will be $12.81 with additional assets announced in that PR.

However, the PR about the 8-K filed had an additional bond, which may further increase the book value, depending on the terms of the agreement.

The tools needed to do DD on this stock:
* Read news articles for CSHD, FHAL and CVSU from the past
* Understand the businesses that make up this holdings company on www.cvsu.us
* Read posts on InvestorsHub.com for stock symbol CSHD
* Listen to Mr Harris's interview recordings on MN1.com

We are bullish on this stock right now. Note that this is a high-risk investment, but the higher the risk, the higher the reward - thats my belief.

As always, please do your own DD and do not use the content listed on this website to make your decisions about trading stocks. If you have any valuable input, please feel free to comment. Good luck!

Position: Long

The writer was a Long CSHD investor at the time of publication.

Saturday, August 12, 2006

AMTD Update

Cramer like AMTD per Mad Money Lightening Round on 8/10/06. I like stocks that are blessed by Cramer. Booyah!

A lot of Insider Buying going on lately in Jul and Aug per Yahoo. Insider buying is always a good thing. We're not sure if this is planned and just reported as Insider buying since its the Chairman buying, but frankly, we don't care. We like the chairman buying stocks - tell us of his confidence level in his company.

Those were the positives.

On the flip side, lower commissions at e-trade and scott trade could be hurting Ameritrade but we expect them to revise their commissions to match competitors soon, if they're losing customer fast enough. Per their latest PR regarding trading activity, client assets and number of accounts fell, but there was a rise in daily average revenue trades. Some decline in client assets could be due to the falling share prices, with political tensions in the middle east, rising gas prices, etc. People may also have taken out some investment money to pay the bills. We sure don't like the fact that AMTD is losing customers.

Despite the negatives, we still remain bullish on AMTD!!!

We will recommend buying and averaging down at these prices.

P.S.: There are also talks about eTrade bidding to buy AMTD. See Yahoo Finance Message Board.

Positions: None

The writer has no positions in the stocks mentioned above at the time of writing.

TD AMERITRADE Holding Corp (AMTD)

Tuesday, May 02, 2006
Coverage Initiated
Click here to view

Saturday, Aug 12, 2006
Update
Click here to view

Wednesday, June 28, 2006

What would I do in this market

I would save up to buy more at lower prices in 2nd half of this year. If you want to give someone a present, give them cash and ask them to get financial advise so their investment may have a potential to grow.

Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. Do your own DD.

Tuesday, June 27, 2006

J Crew & Upcoming IPOs this week

There's a lot of IPO buzz going on this week. With J Crew, the retail store going public with an expected share price of $16 per share, people may start liking IPO's again (especially after the Vonage train wreck). However, I'm skeptical at this point for any company going IPO. This is not the best time for a company to go public, with FED expected to raise interest rate again, the train wreck Vonage, and the DOW down today by about 100 points.

Other companies going IPO this week are:
Wintegra (WNTG)
Gordon Biersch Restaurants (BIER)
Omniture (OMTR)
PGT, INC (PGTI)
Replidyne (RDYN)
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR)
Bidz.com (BIDZ)
GMarket Inc. (GMKT)

I'd be waiting atleast until July 15 for these new comers before taking a dive in the sea again. Its a conservative approach that shields you from the downside, but also limits your upside, if the stocks do take major gains within the first few trading days.

I particularly like J Crew.

Positions: None
The writer has no positions in the stocks mentioned above at the time of writing.

This is just our opinion. Please do not trade stocks based on what you read in this website. Do your own Due Diligence. Good luck :D

Thursday, June 08, 2006

Mad Money Speculative Index

Cramer and Mad Money team came out with a Mad Money Speculative Index of 10 highly risky speculative stocks. Here are the stocks he mentioned today. For further information, visit www.thestreet.com.

RTK
KRY
IVAN
TMY
NXG
EZM
JDSU
CNXT
FNSR
CIEN

We'll be watching Cramer in Mad Money to track this speculative index.

Speculative Play on Copper - EuroZinc Mining Corp (EZM)

Our first question, what does EZM do. As per the Yahoo profile,

"EuroZinc Mining Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of base metal deposits internationally. The company owns the Neves-Corvo copper mine; and the Aljustrel zinc, lead, and silver project in southern Portugal. EuroZinc was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada."

We value EZM as extremely attractive and cheap anywhere below $2.05. There are a few reasons for this. First, they recently approved a new drilling site in southern Portugal and production is scheduled to start in 2007. Portugal is an excellent place for heavy metal industry and they may even drill for other metals like Gold and Silver (pure speculation).

Even though EZM's PE ratio of 14.25 is higher than its competitor's, we believe that their EPS will dramatically increase once production starts in 2007 so it deserves the higher multiple.

Few other points that make us bullish on EZM:
Drilling companies rely on # of employees, which we expect to increase in 2007
EZM only has a few direct competitors as others are in gold and specific metals.

This is an extremely speculative stock. No analyst covers this stock. What that means is it is extremely risky but the reward could be equally high. This stock fluctuates quite a bit, as you will see that today itself it went down to $2 and came back up to $2.29. Exercise caution when trading this stock.

We believe this company has great potential as a long-term investment. In the last one year, EZM has accumulated nearly 1.25 Billion market capital.


Position: None
The writer has no position in the stock mentioned above

Vonage – An IPO Disaster

On May 15, 2006 I informed the readers about VOIP technology and Vonage going IPO. Click here to read that post. The summary of that post was:

"I will not recommend Vonage as a long term investment. It will be a good trade as I believe that the hype will make the price jump to low 20's in a few weeks when the stock comes out."

I was right about the fact that its not a good long-term play (for last 4 months) and it shows as Vonage closed today at $6.72 per share. But I was very wrong about the fact that it will be a good trade in mid-teens.

I'm removing VG from my watchlist at this time.

Again, all this is opinion. Don't trade on opinions presented here.

Position: The writer had no position in VG at the time of writing this article.

Tuesday, May 30, 2006

Momentum Plays based on Technicals alone

FMDAY
agys
drl
alan
CMQ - Highly speculative

Monday, May 29, 2006

Scoreboard - Close of market May 26, 06

Our model portfolio (which is just a means for us to track our opinions and is not a real portfolio) was up 0.56%. The Asian markets are crashing and the US market is still relatively strong. As per my market prediction, I think this is the beggining of the June upward spike I mentioned last week.

Our biggest winner this week, GNTA, is up a little over 20% since when we first recommended it. This would be a good time to book some gains in this holding. However, we do believe that this upward spike is a result of "Someone somewhere knows something that I don't know". So, this could mean that we may see some positive PR in the coming week, which could drive the PPS up to near our target price of 2.20.

ATAR is taking the biggest beating from our list, down 17.5%. Atari's earnings call is scheduled for June 14. This is a pure play on management. To be honest, we're not very pleased with them right now, but we'll wait to hear from them on the earnings call before making any recommendation.

INSM launched IPlex last week, but it almost turnout out to be a non-event in terms of PPS. That's not right and we believe that the PPS will reflect its true price (close to 1.80) within two weeks. As a manipulative stock, the MM's may make this a bumpy ride to shake off the weak hands, so make sure you got some muscles to stay in the game.

We maintain our positive outlooks for AMTD, NTES and GENR.

Monday, May 22, 2006

Market Prediction

Here's my prediction of the market -

Interest rates will rise again and the second half of 2006 will lead the market downwards. However, I do believe that we will see another upward spike in June, before the real downtrend occurs.

This downtrend, if short term may reverse in second half of 2007, but if long-term can continue till 2011. This will be a result of money flowing into emerging markets, weakening US economy, and rising US debts.

In my opinion, technology and financial stocks will get hit the most.

No one knows what's in the future, but this is my opinion.

GS & REDF Looking Good - Right here right now

I like the current weaknesses in GS and REDF. GS at 146.15 and REDF at 14.99 are great buying opportunities. However, I will not advise these as short term plays due to the market's momentum downwards. So, if you can live through the tough times, these plays will be very rewarding in second half of 2007.

Saturday, May 20, 2006

Scoreboard - Close of market May 19, 06

With the Fed raising interest rates to 5% last week, this was a pretty tough week for stocks. Our model portfolio (which is just a means for us to track our opinions and is not a real portfolio) was down 3.14%.

Lets discuss stocks in our model portfolio one by one.

Our model position in TD Ameritrade (NasdaqNM:AMTD) is at a 5.77% loss this week. This stock had a little roller-coaster ride this week going from ~18 to ~ 16.50 and now trading at 17.31. Current levels from 16.50 - 17.30 are good levels to average down your position. The action we see here has to do with the overall market. We maintain Ameritrade as a candidate to stay in the model portfolio and average down at these levels. Our original target of $23 is intact by end of 2006.

Our model position in Insmed Inc (NasdaqNM:INSM) is at a 5.42% loss this week. The launch of IPLEX is several weeks away, as per INSM's management. The judge asked INSM and TRCA/DNA to take the issue outside and try to negotiate and settle it. Sounds much like what happened to RIM a few months ago. What this means is that if a court is to take decision, neither side would be happy. This recent development has increased the risk factor in this position. However, we feel that both INSM and TRCA will see new highs as the true potential of IGF-1 technology comes out. We maintain our original target of $2.50 for this as a long term target.

Our model position in NETEASE.COM ADS (NasdaqNM:NTES) is at no loss no gain this week. This companies profits jumped in online gaming in China, they're buying back shares, but they get a downgrade by Citigroup. The stock did see $23 and change this week on speculation near the conference call. However, investors interested in foreign investment saw this as a good play in China and the rapid price moves up and down made it a good trading stock. We maintain that this stock will see mid 20's soon.

Our model position in GENTA INC (NasdaqNM:GNTA) is at a 8.90% loss this week. Think of this stock as stealth play right now. We maintain that this stock will see 2.20 by end of this year.

Our model position in ATARI INC (NasdaqNM:ATAR) is at a 12.50% loss this week. This is a high risk play and its a play on the company's management and parent company. ATAR has failed to meet NASDAQ National Market continued listing requirement(s) and we believe that the management has the potential to get and keep this stock over $1 for 10 consecutive days before August, which will prevent it form going to pink list.

I like Jim Cramer's principle "Buy on weakness and sell on strength" as he says on his Mad Money show. I think this market is a weak market. However, I also think that we will be in this market for the second half of Q2 so I'd say hold to buying right now, but sell and book your gains.

Enjoy the weekend!

Tuesday, May 16, 2006

Smith Micro Software (SMSI) - Student play

You didn't hear it from me first - you heard it from Cramer at his Mad Money Play on May 16, 2006.

Stock: SMSI
Price: 11.58
Cramer Says: Buy

As per the Mad Money show, Cramer and his Stocks under $10 buddy on TheStreet.com, Will Gabriesky believes that this company will reports Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80. The company makes the software that lets consumers download music from their Verizon cell phone. Cramer also mentioned that the company is creating a compression software that can compress pictures and video by as much as 30%, but this business is not profitable yet. As per Mr Cramer, when it does become popular, this stock trading at a multiple of approx 4 (based on eps of $0.80) could go much higher.

I love gadgets and I love Verizon as they are the best cell phone company in terms of reliability, per my standards.

I'd agree 100% on this one with Jimmy. This is a long term play and I'll say this stock goes to $20 in 2007.

Adding to watchlist.

Position: None
The writer had no position in the stocks mentioned in this article at the time of writing

Monday, May 15, 2006

Watchlist - Stocks under $5, $10, All

Starting today, we will be showing our watchlist on the right side of our website. Watchlist stocks are those that have high potential but we are waiting for something to occur before we will add them to our Model Portfolio.

The watchlist is divided in three sections:


  • Stocks under $5 - stocks between 0.001 and 5.00

  • Stocks under $10 - stocks between 5.01 and 10.00

  • All other Stocks - stocks above 10.01

VOIP Play - Vonage VG

Your first question will be, What is VOIP.

In short, VOIP (or Voice over Internet Protocol) helps people make and receive phone calls using your broadband Internet connection instead of the standard phone line.

If you're interested in the technical details, Vonage converts your phone calls into data that zips through your high-speed Internet connection just like email. It comes out the other end just like a regular phone call. Your callers will never know that it's any different since it sounds just like a regular phone call.

Vonage, if ends up going public will trade under the symbol VG. Some researchers say that Vonage may get bought out, just like Skype was bought out by eBay last year. We will surely not trade on "getting bought out speculation" coz i don't like it.

Vonage has not gone IPO yet. However, it has made an offer to existing subscribers that they can buy the stock at $16 with the condition that they have to buy a minimum of 100 shares. I like this marketing that Vonage is doing by giving priority to the 1.4 Million subscriber lines it has. Also, it has created a lot of hype among people who don't really consider themselves as investors but feel that opportunity is a privilege.

I like Vonage because it is very popular among small call centers in India. People who work nights at big call centers run their own call centers from home using numbers and minutes from Vonage. Young adults in India are making tons of money by using this technique as demand for outsourcing call center oriented business. You may think that all call centers are already outsourced but thats not true. Only mid to large size coorporations have outsourced their call center support business. The smaller companies are still on their way to outsource call center support.

I will not recommend Vonage as a long term investment. It will be a good trade as I believe that the hype will make the price jump to low 20's in a few weeks when the stock comes out.

We'll keep an eye on this and keep you readers informed.

Sunday, May 14, 2006

Stock picks - NTES, GNTA

Stock picks for the week (May 15th 2006 - May 22nd 2006)

After researching for a few hours on various sectors, i have come with my own picks for the week.

1. NTES (Nasdaq) Net Tease Inc - Chinese Internet Gaming company: http://corp.163.com
Current Price: $21.32
Expected: $25.00 (for Short term) & $60.00 (Long term)

We are recommending NTES for three businesses that are all going to grow in China over the coming years:
1. Online gaming is hot in China right now
2. Wireless services is hot globally among the youth
3. Internet portal - I consider this the Yahoo of China

2.GNTA (Nasdaq) Genta Inc - http://www.genta.com
Current Price: $1.46
Expected: $2.20(for Short term) & $8.00 (Long term)


According to the company's profile on Yahoo Finance,

Genta Incorporated engages in the identification, development, and commercialization of drugs for the treatment of cancer and related diseases in the United States.

This is a high risk, highly speculative play.

Position: LONG GNTA
The writer was a LONG GNTA at the time of writing and had no positions in the other stocks mentioned in the article above

Saturday, May 13, 2006

Stock - Buy Alert - INSM @ 1.66

All of the following is in my opinion only!

Stock: INSM
Play Type: Speculation
Term: Long Term Investment
Buy Price: $1.66

Insmed Incorporated, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of drug candidates for the treatment of metabolic diseases and endocrine disorders in the United States. Its lead product includes IPLEX, mecasermin rinfabate injection, which is used for the treatment of growth failure in children with primary IGF-1 deficiency.

Their lead product IPLEX is nearing a market launch. For the Quarter ending March 31, 2006, the company announced that their IPLEX market launch is on track and is several weeks away. However, this stock is completely manipulated by MM's so don't day-trade or play with this stock for short-term gains.

If you look at this company for the first time, you will immediately say "Why is a company with an FDA approved product still trading under $2." The answer is that there are several lawsuits hanging over the company. The company's biggest competitor is Tercica (TRCA), which only has one IGF-1 based product called Increlex.

What you need to understand is that IGF-1 is an old drug technology (or whatever they call it in the pharm industry), which was originally in development by Genentech (DNA). DNA didn't think there was enough money or couldn't come up with a good product using IGF-1, so they licensed it to both Tercica and another company that was bought out by Insmed. Tercica was the first to market with an IGF-1 product, but Insmed is not far behind. The great thing about INSM is that they use their own protine Somakotine and mix it with IGF-1 to form IPLEX. This combination of Insmed's proprietary protien has removed some major side-effects caused just by using IGF-1.

My prediction for the target stock price by end of 2006 is $2.50 - $3. I'm taking into consideration that the market will be going downwards from here on for the rest of 2006. If the market turns around upwards, you can expect PPS (price per share) to be around $3 - $3.50.

As mentioned earlier, this is in my opinion only.

For most up to date information regarding INSM, use this message board - InvestorsHub.com.

Position: LONG
The writer was a Long INSM investor at the time of this publication.

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Fed hiked the key interest rate to 5%

Yes, it was expected and came to be true! I say we'll see a down market for the rest of this week, which may be good opportunities to buy.

Monday, May 08, 2006

Ethanol - Make Cash from Corn is all over CNBC today

If you watch CNBC, you'll see they're all over Ethanol - Make cash form Corn. Jim Cramer did an entire session on ethanol plays a few days ago. Click here for the link .

The best of breed stock Cramer recommended is up approx 6% or $2.40. I'm starting to notice that CNBC pumps are pretty effective.

Research Opportunity - Plays with rising gas prices

What would I do if gas prices hit $4 a gallon. I'll change my habits and try not to travel as much as I did 9 years ago.

It will make the middle class sit at home more often. When you sit at home, you watch tv, movies or chat on the internet. Maybe you don't do this but look at the next generation.

My plays would be Comcast, Charter Communications, Blockbuster, Netflix - research is on the way so hang on.

[Update May 16, 2006]
Based on fundamentals, Netflix is due for a correction at approx a multiple of 35. Blockbuster was a 20 dollar stock trading at 4.78 at today's close. Netflix rents dvd's via postal mail using a subscription model. Blockbuster used actual stores to rent movies and is just starting to rent movies online. Charter and comcast are both good plays too. However, I am not in a position to recommend any of these at this level.

[Update May 17, 2006]
I may have found a play that I like by the first look - research is on the way on stock ticket MOVI.

Saturday, May 06, 2006

Employment Numbers, FED & Interest Rates

Lower than expected employment numbers were reported today, which makes analysts think that FED chairman may not be able to raise interest rates any further at the next FED meeting. I disagree with those analysts. I think the interest rates will go up again pretty soon.

Microsoft - How you doing?

I'm used to seeing MSFT trade between 27 and 28 and I see it at 23.87 right now. The 52 week low is 23.14. I say put a good till cancelled order at 21 bux. It may never be filled but if it does within the next two weeks, it will be a chance to make a quick 5 bux per share by end of 2006.

This is just common sense - we're talking about what used to be the #1 tech company where everybody always trusted the management. I believe a lot of their good people have moved on and the change in employees is a major cause for delays but there's this old saying "Every dog has its day" and I can tell you MSFT is a dawg that you never wanted to mess with and I would still stick with that stance.

All the recent gibberish about MSFT wanting some stake in Yahoo could make it such that it may never see the 21's.

Position: None
The writer had no positions in the stock mentioned above at the time of writing.

Tuesday, May 02, 2006

Update - International Clothing Play

Last week, I was curious to find out about international clothing plays and why people in Indian TV shows have been wearing GAP.

At this point, I'm not convinced that stores like GAP or Banana Republic would do well in India. The reason is that Indian clothing stores are Full Serve stores i.e. there is a person who helps people find what they're looking for. The new American model is long coming but I wouldn't move forward with a clothing play right now.

Position: None

Initiating coverage on AMTD at 18.37

On 4/24/06, I talked about AMTD. I said the stock may see mid 18's to low 19's before shooting up again.

I stick with my words and I think this is the bottom I'd buy it at.

Initiating coverage on AMTD at 18.37.

Position: None

Saturday, April 29, 2006

Quick Summary & Things Learnt last week

April 29, 2006

This weekend’s Wall Street Journal lights picture on the fact that Microsoft’s shares fell 11% (or $3.10) - Microsoft’s biggest one day loss in more than five years. Microsoft took most of the tech sector down with it.

Vonage will be going IPO soon under the stock symbol VG. One of Vonage’s competitor Skype was bought by eBay last October.

Reading the Wall Street Journal, I learnt that it’s better for the economy if the market rises at a slower pace. Otherwise, the FED may continue to increase the interest rates. Good point.

P.S: A stock on my radar that I’m researching is NXG

[UPDATE 05/02/06]
NXG is a gold mineral play trading near its 52 weeks high. This market is due for a correction in the short term. Thus, no action.

The Street.com - Booyah!

The Street.com Inc. (TSCM)

TSCM makes money through advertisement and subscription to TheStreet.com’s subscription services and advertisement placed on this website. RealMoney is another website operated by TheStreet.

Founder of TheStreet.com, Jim Cramer, can be seen on TV every weekday evening at 6 pm on CNBC. He can be heard on his radio show, which you can get through the website. I try to watch Cramer everyday and am a huge fan. By watching his TV show, Mad Money, I became so interested in investing that I started sharing my thought process now. You may see similarities between the ways I do research with Cramer’s as I’ve learnt a lot by watching him on TV for a year. Of course, Cramer is not allowed to talk about his own company on his TV show but I’m allowed to talk about it on my blog.

The other day I found out from my sibling in college that in a group project, all the team mates were campaigning using Jim Cramer’s Mad Money’s catch phrase “Booyah”. It means something – the young college adults watch and follow Jim Cramer. Today, they’re in college and they watch the show. The day they graduate and start a job, they will have the money to pay for Cramer’s subscription services on TSCM. If you watch Mad Money regularly, you will hear some callers say they’re 22 years old and they spend $1000 a year to sign up for TSCM subscription services. You also hear callers say they Cramer made them Mad Money. Does that mean something to you?

To me, it means that people who are in college with thousands of dollars in loans are spending time and money on Cramer. There is a lot of interest coming back in making money in stocks. If Fed stops raising rates, this interest will only increase.

Shares of The Street.com Inc. (TSCM) are trading at $10.41 a share, just $0.03 below its 52 week high. A lot of investors don’t like investing in stocks when they’re so near their 52 week high. I say “Bull Shit” to that!

There are two reasons I’ll tell you to hold off on pulling the trigger right now -
1. A Director of TSCM sold 35,100 shares on Apr 27, 2006 so hold off before you hit the trigger here.
2. I’m defying my own rules by recommending this stock – this stock is trading at 1,156 times its EPS.

I’ll wait for a pull back to $8.50 or at the most $9 before hitting the keyboard. This may mean that we may miss the boat and never get to the Rich Island, but that’s ok.

This is a LONG investment so you have a long time to get into this stock.

Position: None
The writer had no position in this stock at the time of writing

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Research Opportunity - International Clothing Retail play

I was watching an International channel that was showing an Indian tv show. People in the show were wearing Nike jacket and Gap sportswear. I want to see if clothing retailers like Gap and Abercrombie n Fitch are already in Asia or are they creating a market before they make their entry.

We have a market where people are getting richer. The Bombay Stock Exchange is hitting all time highs.

I've to research a long-term play here.

Trading Options

Options are a very risky form a investment where you can win and lose large sums of money. I'm learning about it from
www.optionscentral.com/resources/brochures.jsp
, if you want to learn with me.

BTW, I have not forgotten about the research opportunities I presented yesterday. Research is on its way.

Employee Stock Options - Retain employees

Securities and Exchange Commission explains this best at their site at http://www.sec.gov/answers/empopt.htm.

I'm learning how to read financial reports and Employee Stock Options play a significant role in a companies earnings report.

Research Opportunity - Popular TV show "Deal or No Deal"

Hey, I don't know about you guys but "Deal or No Deal" is one show that my family likes to watch over anything else.

The game is so simple and easy to play that anyone can do it. Its so easy to understand that anyone can watch it. Its got its dramatic moments too, which are my favorite.

I was on Amazon.com yesterday and saw that "Deal or No Deal" is coming out with an electronic board and handheld version of the game. I'm not sure if this game will be as popular as monopoly or will it be used in parties to give away little gifts and create an exciting atmosphere. I think I'd like one game for me though, which makes me believe that so will a lot more folks out there.

I don't know what's the best play here, but this sure is a research opportunity. Comments are more than welcome.

[UPDATE 05/02/06]
There's no real play for "Deal or No Deal" game that I could find. On Amazon, this game is sold by various retailers. The game is available from Toys R Us. Toys R Us was acquired by an investment group consisting of affiliates of Bain Capital Partners LLC, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (KKR), and Vornado Realty Trust (NYSE: VNO).

There's no pure play on this game so there's No pure Deal on this play.

Research Opportunity - Interest in the stock market

I watched Jim Cramer on CNBC's TV show Mad Money today as he was at the University of Michegan. From what I saw, Jim Cramer is in-demand among college students. Cramer did a show at Harvard University before and that was a hit too.

I've heard callers call Cramer and say they're 22 to 24 years old, which again reminds me that today's youth is taking investing seriously and there are many reasons:
1. Jobs don't pay as much as they did in the tech boom for new grads
2. Interest rates are high on the student loans and they keep on going higher
3. Students who recenly graduated missed the real-estate boom of the past decade

So, I think interest in stocks among today's youth is on the rise. I can speak for my own experience too. I love to watch Cramer - Booyah!

Can this mean a play? Yes, No, Maybe so?

I don't know yet, but I will keep you readers informed. Research is on the way.

Monday, April 24, 2006

Stock Investment Idea - Financial Company

AMTD (TD Ameritrade)

In my earlier blog Comparing Brokerage Sites, I listed ways of finding a brokerage company that's right for you. Today, I'll talk about the one that I thought was perfect for me and I'm sticking to it!

The sign up process was extremely easy, the free trades saved some money for a novice investor and the user interface was extremely well designed and easy to use. An Apex client gets Level II quotes, great research material and excellent customer service. The overall customer experience was just amazing. With real-estate market slowing down and high interest rates, the young generation will be ready to make some money with equities and interest in stocks by individual investors will rise.

TD Ameritrade Chart Lets do some Fundamental Analysis. In the chart on the right, I've taken a snapshot of TD Ameritrade's direct competitors and other top Investment banks. I've noted everyone's Price as per close of business, PE ratio and Estimated Price per share. All these numbers are available at finance.yahoo.com

At direct competitor level, Charles Schwab Corp trades at 31.77 times earnings whereas E*Trade Financial Corp trades at 23.74 times earnings. TD Ameritrade is trading at the lowest Price to earnings level of 23.53. The Average PE ratio's for these three companies is 26.35; if AMTD traded at a multiple of 26.35, the price of the stock will be 21.87, which is a gain of $2.46.

Today, the shares dropped $2.09 per share as the company lowered its Earnings prediction by 0.09 cents a share for 2007.

While people are selling, I see this as a buying opportunity. I like companies that would revise their estimates and still beat the earnings than promise higher growth and miss the targets. Its just my style of thinking.

Fundamentals alone don't drive a stock up. Stock is below its 200 day moving average. RSI is approximate 55. An average of 6 StarMine top-ranked analysts rate the stock in Outperform Category.

The stock may see mid-high 18's and low 19's before it makes a move back to the stars again.

Among other top Investment Banking Companies, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) looks very attractive from a Fundamentals standpoint. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple with the highest EPS. Even though the stock is cheap, it requires some dough to make some big money. An average multiple for Other Invesment banks is 14.63 so based on average multiple in a perfect world, GS should see a price of 195 in the upcoming quarters. Lehman Brothers Holding Inc (LEH) looks attractive too with a price target of 170 based on average multiple alone.

Positions: None
The writer had no position in any stocks mentioned in the article above at the time of writing.

Make money without working - Have you heard it yet?

Man ... when I was young, I was a dreamer. I wanted to be famous. I never wanted to work for someone. In fact, I wanted to be so famous and rich that I never had to work and could only work on things I was passionate about. I used to preach the idea to my frieds who laughed at me back then.

Well, I just ran across a PodCast today that brought back good old memories. I heard Steve Pavlina talk about "How to make money without a job". Steve talks about how you want to go from being employed to self-employed to a business owner to an auto-pilot. Man, I love the sound of it "Auto Pilot". And he put it in such simple terms. He says that you use systems and processes to make streams of income - passive income. The best thing someone will ever tell you - aim to make $10 a month.

I can't tell you more about this because you just have to go check it out.
Website: stevepavlina.com

This made my day and gave me much needed inspiration.

Enjoy!

Saturday, April 22, 2006

How to research a stock? What does Homework mean?

Buying a stock requires research or as some call it Homework. I'm trying to write down the steps I will take that will be called research before I take action on stocks.

1. Find competitors of the company?
2. Compare the Multiple (PE ratio) for all the companies. Ideally, there shouldn't be much difference. If there is, you may have a winner (the one that trades at the lowest multiple)
3. Read financial reports for last two quarters
4. Listen to conference calls from last two quarters
5. Read analyst reports
6. If the company still looks good for your trade or investment, do some technical analysis of the stock. Atleast know what RSI indicate and what are the current Support/Resistance levels
7. State your entry points/exit points and catalysts you think will drive the stock

Let the fun begin

Monday, April 17, 2006

What is SEC

SEC stands for US Securities and Exchange Commission.
Website http://www.sec.gov/index.htm

SEC is the governing body that governs stocks (or as they're called securities or equities). As per their website,

The mission of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is to protect investors, maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets, and facilitate capital formation.

As more and more first-time investors turn to the markets to help secure their futures, pay for homes, and send children to college, our investor protection mission is more compelling than ever.

As our nation's securities exchanges mature into global for-profit competitors, there is even greater need for sound market regulation.

And the common interest of all Americans in a growing economy that produces jobs, improves our standard of living, and protects the value of our savings means that all of the SEC's actions must be taken with an eye toward promoting the capital formation that is necessary to sustain economic growth.

The world of investing is fascinating and complex, and it can be very fruitful. But unlike the banking world, where deposits are guaranteed by the federal government, stocks, bonds and other securities can lose value. There are no guarantees. That's why investing is not a spectator sport. By far the best way for investors to protect the money they put into the securities markets is to do research and ask questions.

The laws and rules that govern the securities industry


One of the best things I found on the SEC website are the following calculators:
Mutual Fund Calculators
Tax-free versus Taxable Yield Comparison Calculator
Cost Savings Calculator
Loan Calculator
Savings Calculator
Mutual Fund Breakpoint Search Tool
Social Security Retirement Planner
Ballpark Estimate Retirement Calculator
519 College Savings Plan Calculator

All the calculators are at SEC's "Calculators for Investors" website.

What does "Shorting a stock" mean

SEC calls it "Short Sale" of a stock but you'll hear people say "I'm shorting this stock". Its a little complicated to understand what shorting means but keep in mind that you short sell a stock when you believe the stock price will fall. To understand what it means from the mouth of the river, read it yourself at http://www.sec.gov/answers/shortsale.htm.

SEC puts restrictions on Short Selling stocks. Those restrictions can be read at http://www.sec.gov/answers/shortrestrict.htm.

What is "Pump and Dump"

Pump and dump is a scheme that is considered fraud as it hurts investors. According to the Securities and Exchange Commission's website, Pump and Dump Schemes are explained as follows:

"Pump and dump" schemes, also known as "hype and dump manipulation," involve the touting of a company's stock (typically microcap companies) through false and misleading statements to the marketplace. After pumping the stock, fraudsters make huge profits by selling their cheap stock into the market.

Pump and dump schemes often occur on the Internet where it is common to see messages posted that urge readers to buy a stock quickly or to sell before the price goes down, or a telemarketer will call using the same sort of pitch. Often the promoters will claim to have "inside" information about an impending development or to use an "infallible" combination of economic and stock market data to pick stocks. In reality, they may be company insiders or paid promoters who stand to gain by selling their shares after the stock price is "pumped" up by the buying frenzy they create. Once these fraudsters "dump" their shares and stop hyping the stock, the price typically falls, and investors lose their money

Source of Information: http://www.sec.gov/answers/pumpdump.htm

Insider Trading

Insider Trading is best explained by SEC on their website at http://www.sec.gov/answers/insider.htm.

One important thing to note is that Insider Trading has two versions - legal and illegal. Please make sure you understand both of them coz we do use the legal versions to evaluate a stock.

If you see the legal version of Insider Trading selling the stock, it may be a good time to get out especially, if the Insiders selling are CEO or CFO. Sometimes, upper management decides way in advance on when they will sell their stock. In that case, I don't apply the principle above.

Where to find analyst ratings on stocks

If you're looking for Analyst Coverage, one way to do it is to go to finance.yahoo.com, enter your stock symbol and on the left side you will see "Analyst Coverage" section that has the following sub-headings:
* Analyst Opinion
* Analyst Estimates
* Research Reports
* Star Analysts

Analyst opinion will give you how many analysts cover this stock, estimates give you their recommendations - the low, high and average price targets, Star Analysts includes the names of research firms and their ratings on the stock. You can also see Research reports on a company (they have a small fee sometimes but its worth the opinion at most times).

However, one of the best sources of information when it comes to analyst opinion can be obtained by looking at StarMine ranking. Check with your brokerage company if they show you StarMine rankings of a particular stock.

Basics of Bonds

Want to get pointers on where to learn about Bonds or the so called Bonds 101 Tutorial? You came to the right place

Bonds are a stable form of stock. You are just lending money to corporations and government at a pre-negotiated interest rate. You are guaranteed a fixed amount of money you will get for your capital as long as you hold your bond until the maturity date.

If you’re young and can afford risk, you want to invest in stocks. However, if you cannot afford the risk, you want to invest in bonds.

Learn about Bonds Basic – Introduction at Investopedia.

I’m young and I’m more into riskier investments right now i.e. stocks but if you are looking to invest in bonds, you may be interested in learning about Advanced Bond Concepts: Introduction at Investopedia.

Model Portfolio

What sectors to choose for my model portfolio? What percentage for each sector?

First, a lesson - Don't put all my eggs in one basket. I've been burnt by this even though I've heard this saying countless times but if you're like me, you will not learn to diversify until you lose it all once. I just hope you don't stop investing.

For our model portfolio, I'm going to try to have the following stocks
Technical
Healthcare
Energy/Minerals
Metals
Financial

I'm not sure if I'm knowledgeable enough to know which ones make more sense over others and what percentage of my money do I want to put out for each sector. I need more time to research this and we'll talk about that again some day, right here.

What does technical analysis mean in stocks

Technical analysis is a means to predict stock prices by looking at patterns in the chart. As many will tell you, this is an art.

I learnt about technical analysis from Investopedia. Click here to start the Technical Analysis tutorial.

If you can predict the direction a stock price is going, you have the potential to make money in the market. Learn this art as it can only pay off. However, technical analysis works better when combined with fundamental analysis as pointed out by the tutorial too.

Please make sure you understand the very basics of technical analysis from the tutorial - RSI, MFI, Bollinger Bands, Support/Resistence levels. I'm thinking I'll be using those words in my blogs quite a bit as they make sense. Make sure you have a good feel for what they mean.

What does fundamentals mean in Stocks

If someone tells you, I like the fundamentals (or fundies) of this company, what does that mean?
Fundamentals of a stock or fundamental analysis help you estimate future performance of a stock based on historical performance data. In researching the fundies, you look at financial statements as the primary source of information.

A neat guide and tutorial to understandingn fundamentals is Investopedia. Check it out!

One of the basic things to learn about fundamentals is the Price to Earnings ratio, also known as the stock multiple. You may ask "What's a stock multiple?" Multiple of a stock is simply the last price of the stock divided by the Earnings per share delivered last year. To put it as an equation,

Multiple (M) = Last Price (P) / Earnings per share (E)

Another popular way of analyzing stocks is Technical Analysis. Lets try to understand that next.

Comparing Brokerage Sites

Once you learn the stock basics, you want to get your hands dirty. You're looking for a brokerage firm. Follow the steps below to choose your firm:

1. I found this wonderful article on MSN Money that talks about 15 things you must ask any discount broker. Read the article on MSN Money here.
2. Compare 4 brokerage sites online at Fool.com here.
3. See customer's review of more brokerage firms at Consumer's Search

A few questions important to me were:
* Minimum balance
* Transaction fee
* Do they provide Level II quotes. If so, what's the fee.
* Do they provide Research reports. If so, what's the fee.

Depending on which firms suits your personal investing needs, open an account with them. Welcome to Wall Street.

Sunday, April 16, 2006

Stocks 101 - Learning Guide Basics

I am not a stocks guru. I'm just learing myself and sharing my wealth i.e. knowledge to help everyone be on the same page. I won't assume that you know anything about stocks.

- To begin, you may ask yourself, "Why does anyone invest in stocks?"
Well, my answer would be "To make money. Simple! Yes, I know there are other ways to make money so do what makes you money."

- There's a myth around the fact that you should "invest in stocks and NOT trade as trading is bad"
Ok, investing means you hold the stock for a longer period of time whereas in trading you may buy and sell within weeks or a few months. I personally don't believe in this myth because whatever makes you money. Everyone is different. If someone asks me what I do - I do everything - I invest, I trade and I also speculate. Speculation means investing or trading stocks that have a potential to go up or down substantially based on some catalyst. Lets go back to Chemistry classes where catalyst meant a chemical used to increase the reaction rate of the process. In case of stocks, a catalyst means an event or news that may help fluctuate the stock price either up or down. More on speculation later.

- You may ask "How do I pick the stock that I should buy"
You know what, I'd be buying that stock if I knew. To this I say you have to find your criteria that you use to buy stocks and use that to pick them. I will discuss my criteria later on. Its not a "one size fits all" kinda deal though - sometimes you have to look at the bigger picture which is more important than your criteria.

- You may ask "Why stocks? How do they compare to bonds? Why not bonds?"
I suggest you do some research on bonds and find your cup of tea. Once again, whatever makes you money.

These were some questions that were most frequently asked so I decided to get them done with before we started.

Rules that come from Common Sense in Life
* Learn from your mistakes. I bet you do this in your everyday life.
* There's a populat saying: "Past performance does not guarantee future results" so don't think that if you made money in a short period of time before, you'll make it again or if you lost money before, you'll lose it all again. Stock investment is compared to gambling by some - to that I say Ridiculous. However, there are some people who do invest like gamblers without doing their Due Diligence (DD as its called in the stock world). You'll hear people say this a lot "Do your own DD". Someone may tell you someday "I make a lot of money in stocks. Right now I own ###. Be careful. Don't take action based on other's past performance. Also, do your own DD.
* If you're the shopping kind, some items are cheap whereas others are expensive. Mostly, the expensive items are either expensive because they're better quality or because the demand is more than the supply. You also know that if and when you want to sell your item, the expensive one will mostly hold a better re-sale value. (Note that I used the word mostly as you can find exceptions but I'm talking in general). The same applies to stock. High quality stocks are usually not penny stocks. On the other hand, penny stocks are risky as their resale value is low (there may not be enough demand).
* You must have heard the saying "Don't put all your eggs in one basket" because if you do and that basket falls, you may lose all your eggs and may not get any food that day, hypothetically speaking. In stocks, you HAVE to diversify your portfolio.

Commonly Used Terms

1. PE Ratio or Price to Earnings Ratio
What is PE ratio? It is a means to determine how expensive a stock is e.g. lets say stock of $$$ company was trading at 50 dollars. Company decides to do a split, which means they will give 2 shares of 25 dollars each for every one share to every stockholder. Thus, these stock splits can bring the actual price of the stock down to whatever the company wants. Therefore, there has to be a way to compare two stocks. Thus, we use PE ratio. You divide the stock price with the amount earned per share in the previous year to get the PE ratio. If you have two companies, one trades at PE ratio of 5 and the other at 8, you know the 8 one is expensive.

2. Bid and Ask
When you go grocery shopping, you buy bread. The market sells bread to you. However, at Wall Street, you bid for stocks and the person who wants to sell, puts an ask price for his share(s). If you've ever seen or heard about an auction, people bid for items there. The highest bidder gets the item. At Wall Street, the people who want to sell are putting an ask price and people who want to buy are putting a bid. The stock itself is at a certain price that is decided by the bids, asks and shares matched. If your bid matches an ask at the current stock price leve, you get the stocks you wanted to buy. Little tricky to explain but rather than saying buy and sell, we say bid and ask.

3. Level II Quotes
NASDAQ, a market where shares are traded via computers, you could see the current bids and asks that are closest to current share price in real time. This is seen via the Level II Streamer.

Do Your Own Homework

All information presented in this blog is the writer's opinion. Do your own homework before making investment decisions.

We are not providing Buy, Sell or Hold recommendations on this blog. Information provided here is just our opinions and should not be used to make investment decisions. Although we strive to present true information, we do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided in the blog.